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competing IPv4 depletion models

Started by tsarna, September 11, 2009, 07:54:43 PM

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tsarna

Wondering why the widget kept pushing the date further and further out as time passes lately, I started looking at how it was modeled. I also discovered Stephan Lagerholm's model (http://ipv4depletion.com/), which seems to produce a more consistent and explainable result, and more interestingly, arrives at depletion dates significantly earlier than the Huston model that HE and NetCore appear to be using.

He also makes a compelling (to me, but note I am not a statistician) case here: http://ipv4depletion.com/?p=253 as to why Huston's model is problematic.

I wondered if you have looked at Lagerholm's work and have any insight into the relative merits of his model vs Huston's?

julpi70

Quote from: tsarna on September 11, 2009, 07:54:43 PM

He also makes a compelling (to me, but note I am not a statistician) case here: http://ipv4depletion.com/?p=253 as to why Huston's model is problematic.


- This is great  :o